← Grand Library League S3 Finals
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Grand Library League S3 Finals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.2% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 46.9% | -2.3 |
| Water Fractal | 8.9% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 53.0% | +1.9 |
| Water Genbu | 8.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.8% | +0.7 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.8% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 50.3% | +0.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.3% | +2.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Fire Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Water Polkhawk | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |